Thresholding theory (Gonzalez & Woods): All thresholding — whether Otsu's automatic method on pixel intensities or manual cutoffs on derived measurements — faces the same fundamental challenge: finding the decision boundary that minimizes classification error. The optimal boundary depends on the distributions of the two (or more) classes and their relative prevalences. Gonzalez & Woods show that when class distributions are Gaussian, the optimal threshold has a closed-form solution that depends on means, variances, and prior probabilities.
Cutoff optimization (Dilbilir): When the "correct" cutoff is unknown, it can be optimized from outcome data. For each candidate cutoff, compute the sensitivity (true positive rate) and specificity (true negative rate) for predicting an outcome (treatment response, survival). The optimal cutoff maximizes some criterion — typically the Youden index (sensitivity + specificity − 1), which balances both types of error. ROC curve analysis visualizes this tradeoff: the cutoff corresponding to the ROC point closest to (0,1) provides the best overall discrimination.
The Rose criterion as a biological cutoff: Pawley's Rose criterion (SNR > 5 for reliable detection) is itself a cutoff — a threshold on signal-to-noise ratio below which detection becomes unreliable. In measurement terms, a biomarker intensity that barely exceeds the background noise (SNR ≈ 2-3) produces unreliable gate results regardless of where the threshold is set. The Rose criterion provides a principled lower bound for meaningful gating: don't gate a marker whose positive population has SNR < 5 relative to the negative population.
Cutoffs are thresholds applied to any measurement, and the science of choosing them is the same whether applied to pixel intensities or clinical scores. The optimal cutoff minimizes total classification error, which depends on the distributions of the groups being separated and their relative frequencies. When no established cutoff exists, ROC analysis finds the threshold that best predicts a clinical outcome.